One of the distinguishing characteristics of the Austrian school
throughout the development of modern macroeconomics was
its structure of production framework and capital theory. Building
on Menger’s (2007 [1871]) insights regarding the categorization
of goods as “higher order” or “lower order,” Böhm-Bawerk (1930
[1889]) presented a structure of production theory based upon
the roundaboutness of production processes and recognized time
preference as a factor in determining the interest rate and economic
growth. Mises (2009 [1912]) used these insights among others to
sketch a capital and monetary based business cycle theory and later
contributed to the pure-time-preference theory of interest (Mises, 2008
[1949]). Hayek (2008 [1931]) made notable contributions to capital and business cycle theory, including a graphical representation of
the structure of production that could show both sustainable and
unsustainable growth, which he subsequently attempted to further improve (Hayek, 2012 [1941]). Rothbard (2009 [1962]) synthesized
this entire system traceable to Böhm-Bawerk through his “development of a capital and interest theory that integrated the temporal production-structure analysis of Knut Wicksell and [F.A] Hayek
with the pure-time-preference theory expounded by Frank A. Fetter
and Ludwig von Mises” (Salerno, 2009, p. xxvii). Using the ideas of earlier Austrian theorists as well as adding his own contributions,
Rothbard presented the relationship between the interest rate and
the proportion between consumption and investment in the clearest
and most logically deduced manner as well as the capital-based
growth that underlies Austrian macroeconomics.
The basic growth scenario entails a fall in time preference, which is
represented by a decrease in consumption spending and an increase
in investment spending. The additional investment funds are spent
on higher order goods, and increase the number of production stages to reflect the lower natural rate of interest. The opposite occurs for
an increase in time preferences. Graphically, the change in time preference is generally visualized as a movement in the supply curve
along a constant demand curve in the loanable funds market, which
implies a similar shift in the overall time market (Skousen, 2007, p.
233; Garrison, 2006, p. 62). This capital-based growth is fundamental
to all current Austrian macroeconomics since it provides the basis
for the generalizations made about the capital structure and time
preference, mainly, that the proportion of present consumption
spending to investment (future consumption) spending is systematically related to the interest rate through time preference. In other
words, changes in time preferences are embodied in changes in
both as
“the time preferences of the individuals on the market determine
simultaneously and by themselves both the market equilibrium interest
rate and the proportions between consumption and savings (individual and aggregate).” (Rothbard, 2009, p. 400).
—Patrick Newman, “Rothbard's Time Market and the Demand for Present Goods,”
Quarterly Journal of Austrian Economics 17, no. 1 (Spring 2014): 47-48.
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